TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players in an upcoming football game achieve a longest reception exceeding predetermined yardage thresholds. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their longest single catch during the match.
The event evaluates multiple individual player markets within a single football game, each centered on whether specified players record a longest reception exceeding set yardage thresholds. For each player market, if the athlete achieves a reception longer than the stated threshold during the game, that specific market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a player is active for the team but does not take any snaps—if they are on the roster but never enter the game—the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether that play is nullified by a penalty, the market outcome is determined solely by whether their longest reception in the game meets or exceeds the threshold. This structure ensures that markets are resolved based on actual in-game performance whenever players participate, while accounting for pre-snap market valuations when players are active but do not see any playing time.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the longest reception, and the outcome will be based on the yardage of that reception. Trading will cease once the game concludes and the official statistics are released, finalizing the results of this market.
News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could significantly impact this market. Any information suggesting a player is less likely to participate or is facing a difficult matchup could decrease their chances and lower their contract prices. Conversely, positive news, such as a favorable matchup or a history of long receptions, could increase demand and drive up prices. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as a key injury or a change in offensive play-calling, will also heavily influence trading activity.