TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Los Angeles. The outcome depends on whether the designated player achieves certain yardage thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback achieves specified passing yard thresholds in the full game, including overtime. Each contract is designated as 'protected,' meaning if the player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the exact yardage threshold is met. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. If a significant disparity exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise for traders who can capitalize on the price differences. It's important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to late-breaking news or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics from the Arizona versus Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards for the relevant players will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official statistics provided by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players, such as the starting quarterbacks for either team, would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing game, could also move the market. Unexpected reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and drive price movements in this market.