TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:57 PM EST
Kalshi
Markets for this event will determine if Matthew Stafford or Jacoby Brissett throw a certain number of passing touchdowns in the game. The thresholds increase in increments, reflecting varying levels of offensive success for each quarterback.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified quarterback throws at least the designated number of passing touchdowns during the game. Similar to the passing yards markets, if a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap, the resolution depends exclusively on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded, with no nullification of plays affecting the outcome. These conditions apply consistently to all passing touchdown threshold markets for both quarterbacks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely result. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and both can be influenced by new information or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of passing touchdowns scored by the relevant quarterbacks during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. The final result will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding quarterback injuries, changes in weather conditions that might affect passing game strategy, or significant shifts in team dynamics could all cause the market to move. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching strategies could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, leading to price fluctuations in this market.