TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks Matthew Stafford and Jacoby Brissett in a specific NFL game between Arizona and Los Angeles. It focuses on how many times each quarterback's passes are intercepted by the opposing team during the match.
The event evaluates whether designated quarterbacks record specified minimum numbers of passing interceptions in the Arizona vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular quarterback and a threshold number of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+). If the quarterback meets or exceeds the threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule states that if a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the outcome is determined solely by the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both Matthew Stafford and Jacoby Brissett, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each specified interception threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are initially set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals making their own informed assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the game and the probabilities assigned to different interception totals.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Arizona versus Los Angeles game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as an injury report, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse for passing, could also shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about defensive strategies or personnel changes could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, price fluctuations.