TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific professional football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will meet certain benchmarks for completed passes. The outcome depends purely on the game's statistical results.
All markets in this event resolve based on the total number of passing completions achieved by the designated quarterback—either Matthew Stafford or Jacoby Brissett—during the Arizona vs Los Angeles R Professional Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (19+, 24+, or 29+ completions) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. If the named quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all sub-markets for both quarterbacks, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance-based outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders believe a specific completion range is likely, the price of contracts for that range will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates the volume available at various price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and evolving sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of passing completions achieved by the specified team during the game will be the determining factor. The final result will be sourced from official NFL data and will be used to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market and the resulting payouts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team would significantly impact expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could affect passing game strategies and completion rates. Unexpected changes in coaching decisions or offensive play-calling could also shift the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive adjustments could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices within this market.