TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in a professional football game between Arizona and Los Angeles. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed predetermined thresholds for pass attempts during the match.
All markets in this event resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by specified quarterbacks—Matthew Stafford or Jacoby Brissett—during the Arizona vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the named quarterback must record at least the stated number of passing attempts (30+, 35+, 40+ for Stafford; 33+, 38+, 43+ for Brissett). If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to each market, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines based on statistical models and public perception, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to incorporate a wider range of factors, including injury reports, weather forecasts, and even subtle changes in team dynamics. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispricings that sportsbooks miss, or vice versa. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt statistics for the Arizona versus Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing attempts recorded by the official league statistics will determine which outcome wins. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual number of passing attempts, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.