TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether both teams in an upcoming football game will reach specific scoring thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point total that both teams must achieve for the outcome to be considered successful. The resolution depends on the final score of the game, including any points scored in overtime.
The markets resolve based on whether both Arizona and Los Angeles R score at least the specified number of points (14, 21, 28, or 35) in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. Points scored in overtime count toward the total. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a different minimum point threshold that both teams must meet for a 'Yes' resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value if they significantly diverge from the prediction market price. It’s always wise to compare both to inform your decisions, but remember that prediction markets often adjust more dynamically to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring. The price of a 'Yes' contract indicates the market's belief that both teams will score; a higher price means a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set these prices based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market effectively functions as a constantly updating poll, driven by financial incentives.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Arizona and Los Angeles score at least one goal during the scheduled match time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome prevails in this market.
Several factors could influence this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arizona or Los Angeles would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the playing style of either team, could also shift the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, can influence trading activity and therefore the price.