TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
The focus here is on the final quarter's scoring dynamics between Arizona and Los Angeles R. Whether both teams find the end zone or the posts in the 4th quarter determines this outcome, highlighting late-game strategies and clutch performances.
If Arizona and Los Angeles R both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of both teams scoring in the fourth quarter. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate information and insights not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the fourth quarter of the Arizona vs Los Angeles game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving collective forecast. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in both teams scoring, while lower prices suggest the opposite.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the Arizona and Los Angeles teams each score at least one point during the fourth quarter of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams met this condition. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will reflect the overall market prediction.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters – such as dominant offensive displays or strong defensive showings – might shift traders' expectations about the likelihood of both teams scoring in the fourth quarter. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also contribute to price fluctuations.