TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two teams during a specific quarter of a football game. It focuses solely on the points scored in the second quarter, ignoring the rest of the match. Outcomes depend on whether one team surpasses the other by a designated margin during that period.
The event evaluates various point differentials by which either Arizona or Los Angeles wins the second quarter of their scheduled football game on October 18, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for the winning team to exceed in that quarter alone. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. The resolution hinges on the exact margin of victory within that specific timeframe, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome. The governing league’s official records will determine the final scores, and Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price to reflect their collective view. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, and this market can sometimes offer more favorable odds than those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the spread is to zero, the more confident the market is that the actual result will be close. Volume and open interest also influence price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Arizona vs Los Angeles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing body of the sport. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether the actual spread fell on the side they traded. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market settles.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts, or even public sentiment based on pre-game analysis could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance expectations could also cause the price to move, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in this market.