TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses exclusively on the second half performance of a football game, determining whether one team secures a victory by a specific margin during that period. The outcomes hinge entirely on the point differential after the second half concludes, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the specified football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if Los Angeles R exceeds the stated margin when winning, or if Arizona exceeds the stated margin when winning. Only points scored from the start of the third quarter through the end of regulation and any overtime periods are considered; first and second quarter points are irrelevant. All markets operate independently, allowing for multiple 'Yes' resolutions depending on the actual margin achieved in the second half.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information, such as injury reports or late-breaking news, compared to traditional sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which side of the market wins. The resolution will reflect the actual difference in scores between Arizona and Los Angeles R at the end of the second half, and contracts will pay out accordingly based on whether the actual spread exceeds or falls short of the market’s spread.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Arizona or Los Angeles R would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in coaching strategies, weather conditions, or even unexpected team performance in preceding games could also influence trading activity. Major news stories or public sentiment shifts related to either team could also contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.