TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring levels for both teams.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Arizona or Los Angeles in the first half of the Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market specifies a unique point threshold for one team; if the team's score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds range from modest scores like over 2.5 points to very high benchmarks such as over 30.5 points. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible team total outcomes for the first half. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The market aggregates the opinions of individuals, creating a dynamic and potentially insightful forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half team totals from the Arizona vs Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official score as recorded by the governing body of the game. The market will determine which contract corresponds to the actual team total achieved during the first half, and those holding the winning contracts will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from key players during the game itself, or significant momentum swings in the first quarter, could also lead to substantial price movements. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, as traders incorporate this information into their assessments of the likely outcome of the Arizona vs Los Angeles first half.