TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Michael Wilson will score 3 or more touchdowns in the Arizona vs Dallas professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 2.0% probability to Wilson achieving this milestone, while Javonte Williams scoring 1+ touchdowns is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on whether CeeDee Lamb scores at least one touchdown in the game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the performance of both teams’ offenses leading up to the game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, as this will likely influence predictions ahead of the November 2, 2026 resolution date.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during the specified game. If a participant is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at its pre-game fair market price. Once a participant takes any snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the outcome depends solely on whether they score a touchdown. Touchdowns resulting from fake punts or offensive team field goals do not count toward special teams touchdowns. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of scoring achievements for each specified participant.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market reflects what traders believe will actually happen. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges – injuries, weather forecasts, or changes in team strategy. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of the expected game outcome and potentially reveal where value might lie for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total number of touchdowns scored in the Arizona vs Dallas game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived likelihood of that touchdown total, while lower prices suggest a lower probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final touchdown count from the Arizona vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will determine which contract corresponds to the actual number of touchdowns scored during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona Cardinals or the Dallas Cowboys would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions affecting passing or rushing attacks, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced leading up to the game could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could contribute to price movements in this market.