TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during an upcoming football game between Arizona and Dallas. The outcome depends on individual player performances or defensive scores, reflecting offensive and defensive dynamics in the match.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half—including overtime—they resolve to the fair price prior to kickoff unless they meet the touchdown criteria. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an at-least payout criterion, and the event considers touchdowns scored throughout the entire game, including overtime. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer’s total, and team defense/special-teams selections settle based on actual touchdowns without the player participation exception applying to them.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who may be influenced by biases or proprietary models. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of many individual traders. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Arizona vs Dallas game. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the number of touchdowns scored. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants. The current price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring in the Arizona vs Dallas game. A higher price suggests a greater perceived likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of touchdowns scored in the Arizona vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to reflect the actual number of touchdowns scored by both teams combined. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the Arizona vs Dallas touchdowns market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the passing or running game. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any public statements from players or coaches about their offensive approach could move the market, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages for either team.