TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the combined score of a football game between Arizona and Dallas exceeds various thresholds. Bettors can assess the likelihood of high-scoring gameplay based on team performance trends and game conditions. The outcome depends purely on the final point tally from the match.
The event evaluates multiple outcome markets centered around the total points scored by both Arizona and Dallas in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from 31.5 to 73.5 points. For any given market, if the combined score of both teams exceeds the specified threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, allowing for varied resolutions across different point totals. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the official game result and confirmed scoring data.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts, expressing their true beliefs about the outcome. As a result, prediction market prices often become more accurate as the event approaches, potentially offering a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or varying levels of confidence in particular outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific points total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that total being the actual result of the game. Buyers believe the actual total will be *less* than the contract price, while sellers believe it will be *higher*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders exchange positions, providing a real-time assessment of the likely points total. The more contracts traded at a particular price, the more confident the market is in that outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Arizona vs Dallas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a points total that matches the actual result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different total will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could shift prices, reflecting new information or changing sentiment about the likely total points scored.