TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
The event refers to a professional football game between two teams scheduled for a future date. The outcome being observed is whether the game concludes without a winner. The focus is on the game's result in terms of a tie rather than any specific team performance.
If neither team wins and the game ends in a tie in the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market reflects the pure probability assessment of traders. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, as they aggregate diverse opinions and incentivize informed predictions. However, sportsbook odds still represent a valuable benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a tie. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders buy contracts indicating a tie is likely, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to rapidly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking view of the event's potential outcome. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Arizona vs Dallas game ends in a tie, as officially recorded by the league. The final score will be the determining factor, and the market will settle to 100 if a tie occurs, and 0 if it does not. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized and payouts distributed.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Arizona or Dallas team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact playing conditions, could also shift probabilities. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information released about team morale or preparation could influence how traders assess the likelihood of a tie in the Arizona vs Dallas game.