TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being exceeded. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for Arizona and Dallas in their match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a designated point threshold in the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the team's actual points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds vary incrementally for both teams, covering a wide range of possible scoring outcomes. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the Arizona and Dallas team totals. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current top market on Kalshi is for Dallas over 10.5 points scored, though the chance percentage is not currently available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Arizona vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official scores will be used to determine whether the actual team totals exceeded or fell short of the contract values traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also shift prices. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to each other’s actions.