TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in making field goals during an upcoming football game. It focuses on whether specific teams achieve certain minimum numbers of successful field goal attempts. The outcome depends purely on the game's statistical results.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals each team records in the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a threshold requirement for the number of field goals a team must make for that particular market to resolve as 'Yes'. Thresholds range from 1+ to 4+ field goals for each team. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold creates a separate condition that must be met for that specific market to settle positively.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand. If substantial differences exist, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of field goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available. Currently, Dallas scoring 4+ field goals is the most likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of field goals scored by each team in the Arizona vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the number of field goals. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or Dallas teams, particularly the kicker or offensive line, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact field goal success rates and thus the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment and lead to price movements in this market.