TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on whether either Arizona or Dallas manages to score a safety during their scheduled match. A safety awards two points to the defensive team when they down the offensive team's ball carrier in the opponent's end zone.
If Arizona or Dallas record a safety in the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a safety occurring in the Arizona vs Dallas game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event happening. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the evolving beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of a safety being scored.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether a safety was officially recorded during the Arizona vs Dallas game according to official game statistics. The official game results will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is triggered. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key defensive players on either team could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to create more challenging playing conditions, might also impact the probability of a safety. Furthermore, in-game events, such as penalties or turnovers, could lead to rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action in the Arizona vs Dallas game. Unexpected strategic decisions by either coaching staff could also play a role.