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Closed: Nov 1, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
Josh Allen's rushing performance in the Baltimore vs Buffalo game drives payouts, with Yes contracts benefiting from higher yardage up to $1.00.
Contracts pay based on rushing yards recorded by specified players in designated NFL games. Yes contracts earn $0.0025 per yard up to $1.00 maximum, while No contracts receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are scalar and capped at 400 yards, with examples provided for different yard thresholds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different rushing yard outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price of a contract will rise if there is more demand than supply, and fall if there is more supply than demand. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to new information and refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard statistics for the Arizona versus Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts payout, and at what value. The official NFL statistics will serve as the definitive source for settling this market, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly running backs or offensive linemen, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected rushing yard totals. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could lead to shifts in trader sentiment. Additionally, any updates on player matchups or defensive schemes could move this market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.