TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Dallas. Participants can bet on how many rushing yards a designated player will achieve, with payouts increasing progressively as the yardage rises. The structure rewards higher yardage achievements with significantly larger returns.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the Arizona vs. Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay out according to a tiered schedule that increases with every 10 rushing yards achieved, up to a maximum payout of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic function scaled to the official yardage total, ensuring progressively larger rewards for higher performance thresholds. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, effectively serving as the inverse outcome. Negative rushing yard totals result in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. The structure creates a dynamic risk-reward dynamic where higher projected performances offer exponentially greater returns, capped at the $1.00 contract value.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public perception shifts. While sportsbooks may initially be influenced by expert opinions, this market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for both the Arizona Cardinals and the Dallas Cowboys are verifiable from credible public reporting following the game's completion. The final rushing yardage totals, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning contracts in this market. The resolution process ensures accuracy and transparency, relying on publicly available data to determine the outcome of this prediction market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are a major catalyst, as are changes in weather forecasts that could affect the running game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact volume and pricing. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.