TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a specific player achieves various incremental rushing yard thresholds in a designated football game. Each outcome represents a different yardage benchmark the player must surpass during the match to settle the market.
All markets resolve based on whether Javonte Williams achieves specified rushing yard thresholds in the Arizona vs Dallas professional football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Williams is active but does not take a snap, markets settle at the fair market price before kickoff. Once Williams takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the total rushing yards he records during the game. All yardage counts are evaluated cumulatively, and thresholds are progressive, meaning higher thresholds represent more demanding performance benchmarks.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion on the likely total rushing yards in this game, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total rushing yards. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe the rushing yards will be high, they will buy contracts predicting a higher total, driving up the price of those contracts and lowering the price of contracts predicting a lower total.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yards total from the Arizona versus Dallas game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. The market will settle to 100 for the contract closest to the actual rushing yards total. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor official NFL statistics following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries to running backs or offensive linemen on either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact expectations about the running game. Late-breaking reports on team strategies or coaching decisions related to running plays could also shift the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could influence trading activity and the price of contracts in this market.