TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific player achieves various yardage thresholds in a football game between two teams. The thresholds represent cumulative rushing and receiving yards accumulated by the player during the game. Outcomes depend strictly on the player's performance metrics.
All markets resolve based on whether Javonte Williams accumulates specified rushing and receiving yard thresholds (90+, 115+, or 140+) in the Arizona vs. Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If Williams is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Williams takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against each yardage benchmark.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final combined rushing and receiving yards total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. The current price indicates what the market believes is the most likely outcome, and the depth of the order book shows the level of conviction behind different potential yardage totals.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the Arizona vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual combined yardage achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will profit based on the difference between their purchase price and the final settlement price. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the game, as injuries or other factors could significantly impact the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key players on either team – injuries to running backs or wide receivers, for example – would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected rushing and receiving yardage. Game-day inactives and even pre-game reports about offensive strategies could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on new information.