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Arizona vs Dallas: Receptions Ladder
kalshi

What is the result of Arizona vs Dallas?

Volume:
$2,283

Michael Wilson

 - Kalshi

Michael Wilson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 5:24 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michael Wilson

View
40%
Yes 40¢No 60¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Trey McBride

View
35%
Yes 35¢No 65¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

CeeDee Lamb

View
35%
Yes 35¢No 65¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

George Pickens

View
10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Javonte Williams

View
5%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jake Ferguson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,010
N/A
N/A
$2,005
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremiyah Love

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets track the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Arizona and Dallas. Participants bet on whether each player's reception count will meet a payout threshold based on a fixed rate per reception, with returns scaling linearly up to a maximum cap.

Kalshi

Each market operates as a scalar betting contract focused on the number of receptions a designated player records during the specified Arizona vs. Dallas NFL game. For every 'Yes' contract, payouts are calculated at a fixed rate of $0.05 per reception, up to a maximum of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 20 receptions. The 'No' contract payout is determined by subtracting the 'Yes' payout from $1.00, ensuring the total return for both positions always equals $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning larger positions receive correspondingly larger absolute payouts while maintaining the same ratio. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the 'Yes' payout would be $0.40 and the 'No' payout $0.60; eleven receptions would yield a 'Yes' payout of $0.55 and a 'No' payout of $0.45, while zero receptions would result in a 'Yes' payout of $0.00 and a 'No' payout of $1.00. All markets are independent and resolve based solely on the reception count of their respective player, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the NFL.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or attempt to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—both sets of odds will adjust, but the speed and magnitude of those changes can vary significantly. It’s common to see this market move more efficiently in response to new data than traditional betting lines.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes—in this case, the number of receptions a player will have. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange contracts, the prices fluctuate, reflecting their evolving expectations. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price climbs, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official reception totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the final, official game statistics, as reported by the league. Any disputes or corrections to the official stats will be considered in the resolution process, ensuring accuracy and fairness in determining the outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key receivers or quarterbacks, would likely cause substantial shifts in the prices. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and influence the number of receptions. Unexpected coaching decisions or adjustments to offensive schemes could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive strategies could lead to traders adjusting their positions and moving the market.