TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
The upcoming football match between Arizona and Dallas features multiple markets centered around individual player performance, specifically the number of receptions each player achieves during the game. These markets allow participants to speculate on whether specific players will meet or exceed certain reception thresholds.
All markets are based on the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the stated number of receptions or more during the game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of receptions recorded. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and insights that might take sportsbooks longer to incorporate into their odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn’t determined by a central authority but rather by the supply and demand created by the traders themselves, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Arizona vs Dallas game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of receptions made by each player will be tallied from official sources following the completion of the Arizona vs Dallas game. The market will then settle based on whether the actual number of receptions exceeds or falls below the thresholds defined in the market contracts. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.