TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Dallas, with payouts scaling based on the number of receiving yards each player accumulates. The structure rewards higher yardage with progressively larger returns, creating a dynamic incentive tied directly to individual player statistics.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each Yes contract pays a scalar amount determined by a cubic function of the player's receiving yards, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout schedule increases incrementally for every 10-yard interval, with specific values defined from 0–9 yards ($0.0000) up to 200+ yards ($1.0000). A formula calculates the precise payout by taking the floor of (10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y equals the minimum of 200 and the maximum of 0 or 10 times the floor of official yards divided by 10. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, and negative yardage results in a $0.00 Yes payout. All payouts are subject to the maximum Yes payout limit of $1.00, and the market resolves to Yes upon finalization of official statistics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth and liquidity—indicated by trading volume—influence how efficiently prices reflect new information. Currently, the most actively traded contracts suggest significant interest in certain yardage thresholds for key receivers.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Arizona vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for relevant players will be aggregated to determine the final market outcome. It’s important to note that official league statistics will be the definitive source for settlement, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources as the game progresses to stay informed about potential shifts in the likely outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both the Arizona and Dallas teams are critical, as their availability directly impacts potential yardage totals. Weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing offenses and therefore receiving yardage. Unexpected changes in team strategy or play-calling could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trading activity and ultimately move this market.