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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

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40,178

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4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Arizona vs Dallas: Receiving Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Arizona vs Dallas?

Volume:
$20,255

Michael Wilson

 - Kalshi

Michael Wilson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 5:19 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michael Wilson

View
17%
Yes 16.6¢No 83.4¢
—
N/A
$3,258
N/A
N/A
$904
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Trey McBride

4%
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢
—
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
$766
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

CeeDee Lamb

2%
13%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢
—
N/A
$10,472
N/A
N/A
$8,819
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

George Pickens

1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$4,279
N/A
N/A
$4,076
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Javonte Williams

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,104
N/A
N/A
$1,104
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Ferguson

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremiyah Love

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Dallas, with payouts scaling based on the number of receiving yards each player accumulates. The structure rewards higher yardage with progressively larger returns, creating a dynamic incentive tied directly to individual player statistics.

Kalshi

Contracts in this event resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each Yes contract pays a scalar amount determined by a cubic function of the player's receiving yards, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout schedule increases incrementally for every 10-yard interval, with specific values defined from 0–9 yards ($0.0000) up to 200+ yards ($1.0000). A formula calculates the precise payout by taking the floor of (10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y equals the minimum of 200 and the maximum of 0 or 10 times the floor of official yards divided by 10. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, and negative yardage results in a $0.00 Yes payout. All payouts are subject to the maximum Yes payout limit of $1.00, and the market resolves to Yes upon finalization of official statistics.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and public perception, while this market evolves as participants trade based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Arizona vs Dallas game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth and liquidity—indicated by trading volume—influence how efficiently prices reflect new information. Currently, the most actively traded contracts suggest significant interest in certain yardage thresholds for key receivers.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Arizona vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for relevant players will be aggregated to determine the final market outcome. It’s important to note that official league statistics will be the definitive source for settlement, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources as the game progresses to stay informed about potential shifts in the likely outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both the Arizona and Dallas teams are critical, as their availability directly impacts potential yardage totals. Weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing offenses and therefore receiving yardage. Unexpected changes in team strategy or play-calling could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trading activity and ultimately move this market.