TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Dallas. It focuses on whether certain players achieve designated receiving yard milestones during the full match, including overtime periods. The contracts are structured to account for player participation and injury scenarios.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record designated receiving yard thresholds (ranging from 50+ to 170+) in the full game, including overtime. Each contract is designated as protected: if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the yardage threshold is met, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with 'above or at-least' payout criteria.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a specific player to exceed a certain yardage, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Arizona vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine which players exceeded their respective yardage thresholds. The resolution will reflect the actual performance of the players during the game, and the contracts will be settled based on whether the specified receiving yard totals were achieved. Trading will cease once the official results are available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both teams are crucial; if a star player is ruled out, it would likely shift probabilities towards other receiving options. Weather conditions on game day, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could affect passing games and therefore receiving yardage totals. Unexpected changes in team strategy or playcalling could also influence outcomes. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could cause the odds on Kalshi to fluctuate as traders react to the new information.