TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve designated receiving yard milestones. The outcomes reflect individual player achievements rather than overall game results.
Each market evaluates whether a specified player reaches a particular receiving yards threshold during the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the player meets or exceeds the threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the referenced player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These provisions apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see this market adjust quickly to news and developments, potentially leading to earlier movements than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain receiving yardage total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current price represents the market's best estimate of the likelihood of the outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage totals for the Arizona vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the combined receiving yards achieved by all eligible receivers from both teams throughout the duration of the game, including any overtime periods. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on either the Arizona or Dallas teams would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts that could impact passing offenses. News regarding quarterback performance or defensive matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also move the market. Any significant news related to player availability or game strategy has the potential to alter the perceived probabilities and drive trading activity.