TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The contest between Arizona and Dallas also includes a market for the first team to reach 21 points. This allows bettors to engage with the game dynamics by focusing on early scoring milestones and potential leads.
Markets resolve based on which team, if any, first scores 21 points in the full game, including overtime. If Dallas reaches 21 points first, the Dallas market resolves to Yes. If Arizona reaches 21 points first, the Arizona market resolves to Yes. If neither team scores 21 points, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time keep markets open; otherwise, they resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, the odds on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market aggregates information from a wider range of sources than a single sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 21 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity, providing a real-time assessment of the race to 21 points. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Arizona or Dallas, reached 21 points first during the game. The result will be based on official game statistics and scoring records. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Arizona or Dallas would likely impact the odds. Changes in team performance during recent games, or adjustments to coaching strategies, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also influence predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could cause noticeable price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in trader confidence regarding which team will reach 21 points first.