TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing distance exceeding set thresholds in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Dallas. Each participant's performance is evaluated based on their longest single rush during the match. The outcome depends on whether any of the designated players surpass their respective yardage benchmarks.
The event determines if any of the specified players—Tyler Goodson, Dak Prescott, Javonte Williams, or Jacoby Brissett—records a longest rush exceeding their individual thresholds (over 9.5, 7.5, 16.5, and 7.5 yards respectively) in the Arizona vs. Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If a player meets or exceeds their threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. For players who are active but do not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the market outcome is based on the longest rush recorded during the game. The markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that traditional sportsbooks might miss. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows anyone to trade and express their beliefs about the likelihood of each player achieving the longest rush. You may find that the most popular player in this market differs from the one favored by sportsbooks, potentially indicating differing opinions on player form, matchups, or game strategy. It's important to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of that player’s probability of having the longest rush. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders reacting to news, injuries, and other factors that could impact the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt in the Arizona versus Dallas game will be declared the winner. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source of truth for determining the longest rush. It’s important to note that any penalties assessed during the play will be factored into the length of the rush, as per standard NFL rules. The resolution will be based on the official game data.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would have a major impact, as would changes in the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected announcements about player usage or changes in coaching strategy could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about player health or performance, even if not officially confirmed, can influence trading activity. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market.