TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will surpass various yardage thresholds during the match. The outcome depends entirely on the players' performance in the game.
All markets resolve based on the total passing yards accumulated by the named quarterback during the specified game. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a snap is taken — even if later nullified by penalty — the market resolves according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. All markets are independent thresholds, with each requiring the quarterback to surpass a specific yardage mark for resolution to 'Yes'. The governing league's official statistics will determine the resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to express their own probabilities. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the likely outcome. It's common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals for both quarterbacks are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards for each quarterback, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total passing yards achieved in the game, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding the health of key players, particularly the quarterbacks for Arizona and Dallas, would have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that might favor passing or running, could also shift prices. Late-breaking news about defensive strategies or coaching decisions could also move this market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and drive price changes as we approach Nov 2, 2026.