TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the number of passing touchdowns achieved by specific quarterbacks in a football game between Arizona and Dallas. It allows participants to speculate on whether a player will reach various performance thresholds during the match.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by specified quarterbacks in the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, if the named quarterback records the specified number of passing touchdowns or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that snap is nullified by a penalty — the market settles strictly based on the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. All markets are independent and evaluated separately for each threshold specified.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time sentiment and information from a wide range of participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics for passing touchdowns scored by each team during the Arizona vs Dallas game. The final result will be determined by the official statistics released by the league, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead to adjustments in trader sentiment. Public perception, fueled by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role in driving price movements before Nov 1, 2026.