TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with their receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total passing completions recorded by the named quarterback—Dak Prescott or Jacoby Brissett—in the Arizona vs Dallas Professional Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (18+, 23+, or 28+ for Prescott; 19+, 24+, or 29+ for Brissett), and resolves to Yes only if the respective player meets or exceeds their assigned target. If a quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a snap occurs—even if later nullified by penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual completions recorded during play. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Arizona vs Dallas game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, giving you an idea of how easily you can enter or exit a position. The goal is to profit from correctly predicting the final passing completions total.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing completions total from the Arizona vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. It’s important to note that the resolution is based on the official game data and not on any pre-game predictions or estimates. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing game, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about key receiver availability or defensive strategies employed by either team could sway trader sentiment. Even public perception, driven by analyst predictions or social media discussion, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.