TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the performance of individual players in a specific football game by tying payouts to their fantasy points scored. Participants bet on whether a player's performance will result in a higher or lower payout based on predefined scoring metrics.
Each market determines payouts based on the Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points scored by a specified player during the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, using Sleeper's weekly standard PPR totals. For each market, the Yes contract pays $0.01 per fantasy point scored, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point figure for the player that week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, with examples provided for various point totals to illustrate the rounding and payout structure. The markets are scalar, meaning payouts vary continuously based on the player's performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts’ predictions frequently align more closely with the probabilities expressed in this market than with initial sportsbook offerings, as they also represent aggregated opinions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final fantasy point totals achieved by players in the Arizona vs Dallas game, as determined by standard fantasy scoring rules. The platform will verify the results against official game statistics and widely recognized fantasy sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected performance shifts during the game could significantly alter trader sentiment. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact player performance, could also play a role. Finally, broader news or analysis related to fantasy football strategy and player projections could drive volume and price movements in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.