TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves if Arizona or Dallas achieves a defensive or special teams touchdown in their matchup. These touchdowns count regardless of when they occur, including during overtime periods, and award six points plus potential extras.
If Arizona or Dallas record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the likelihood of a D/ST touchdown. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader understanding of potential outcomes and market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive/special teams touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic reflection of participant beliefs about the likelihood of a D/ST touchdown in the Arizona versus Dallas game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether a defensive or special teams unit from either the Arizona Cardinals or the Dallas Cowboys scores a touchdown during the game. Official game statistics and play-by-play data will be used to determine if a D/ST touchdown occurred, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on either team could significantly shift expectations, as could changes in weather forecasts that might favor a run-heavy game plan, potentially increasing the chances of a fumble recovered for a touchdown. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or special teams performance could also impact trading activity. Any significant development that alters the perceived likelihood of a D/ST touchdown will likely cause movement in this market.