TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:32 PM EST
Kalshi
For this market to resolve positively, both Arizona and Dallas need to put points on the board during the fourth quarter of regulation, not counting overtime. All valid scoring plays are considered in determining the outcome.
If Arizona and Dallas both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both teams to score in the 4th quarter' occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating greater confidence in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing traders to assess the current sentiment and potential price movements. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, following the completion of the Arizona vs Dallas game. The outcome will be determined by whether both teams score at least one point during the 4th quarter of the game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official sports sources. Trading will cease prior to the game's conclusion, and the market will settle based on the official game statistics. All trading activity will be finalized before the official result is known.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also impact the price. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, might affect trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and trigger further price adjustments.