TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Arizona and Dallas during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Participants assess whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of challenge and potential return based on the expected pace and scoring dynamics of the quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Thresholds range from 3.5 to 24.5 points, allowing participants to choose their level of risk and reward. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and the markets are independent of the overall game outcome or any other quarters' scoring. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of professionals, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining the difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook lines can highlight areas where the crowd believes there’s an edge, or where information hasn't fully been incorporated into the sportsbook's pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price through their bids and asks. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. A price of 50 indicates a 50% probability. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the overall sentiment of traders participating in this market regarding the likely 3rd quarter total points scored between Arizona and Dallas.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Arizona vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract will pay out. Traders holding the winning contracts will receive a payout of 100 minus the price they paid for the contract, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can cause rapid price adjustments as the game approaches.