TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming football game between Arizona and Dallas. It specifically evaluates performance from the midpoint of the game onward, including any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
If Dallas wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning the second half. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news, as prediction markets can incorporate information more rapidly than traditional bookmakers. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into public sentiment and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a specific outcome will occur. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective prediction. The closer we get to Nov 1, 2026, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived certainty of the result, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular team’s victory in the second half.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second half of the Arizona vs Dallas game will be declared the winner, and that result will determine the settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. Keep an eye on the final score as it becomes available to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy, weather conditions impacting gameplay, or even unexpected lineup changes could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly impact the price, especially if they signal a strong conviction from informed traders. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s prediction.