TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether the total points scored by both teams in the second half of a specific football game will exceed various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and scoring dynamics of the game's latter stages.
The markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Arizona and Dallas in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second half and overtime of that half, with no points from the first half contributing to the outcome. The thresholds range incrementally from 3.5 points to 42.5 points, providing a spectrum of scoring expectations for participants to evaluate.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of individuals incentivized to be accurate. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome, though this market focuses solely on the predictions made by traders on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the total 2nd half points scored will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the Arizona vs Dallas game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 2nd half of the Arizona vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 2nd half will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' outcome prevails. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the results against official game statistics to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona Cardinals or the Dallas Cowboys would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could sway trader sentiment. Even public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks might indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi.