TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both Arizona and Dallas in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher or lower scoring bursts within the opening quarter.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Arizona and Dallas during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold, and the outcome is determined by whether the total points exceed that threshold. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution, meaning any scoring in subsequent quarters has no impact on these markets. The thresholds range from 3.5 points to 24.5 points, offering varying levels of difficulty for the 'Yes' outcome. If the game is postponed or canceled without an official first quarter having been played, all markets will resolve as 'No'. The markets are independent of league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially diverging from sportsbook odds due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as public opinion shifts, and the market reacts to those changes. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Arizona vs Dallas 1st quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The closer we get to the game, the more the price will likely move as new information and analysis become available, influencing traders' decisions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Arizona vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which contracts payout. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the game and official results to understand the final settlement.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely impact the perceived scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or unexpected shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to price movements in this market as traders adjust their expectations before the game begins.