TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between Arizona and Dallas. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can assess for the game.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by Arizona and Dallas in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first half of play, with each threshold representing a distinct level of scoring expectation. The resolution of each market depends solely on whether the actual combined first-half score surpasses its respective threshold, with no consideration given to the full game outcome or second-half performance. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market operates similarly to a stock exchange, where prices are determined by supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total score of the first half of the Arizona vs Dallas game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total score range will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The exact payout will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, although to a lesser extent than concrete event-related information.