TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the combined outcomes of the first half and the full game in an upcoming football match between Arizona and Dallas. Each market specifies different scenarios for how the first half and final game results must align to determine the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For a market to resolve to Yes, both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, and each has specific conditions for the first half (Dallas win, Arizona win, or tie) and the full game (Dallas win, Arizona win, or tie).
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Arizona vs Dallas game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by various factors, including news, injuries, and overall betting activity, and are visible in real-time on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Arizona vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game results, determining which team won the first half and which team ultimately won the full game. The platform will verify this information against established sports data sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Arizona or Dallas teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they affect the game's playing surface or visibility, could also move the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or late-breaking news, could influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market’s prices.