TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which player or unit will score the first touchdown for the Dallas team in an upcoming professional football game against Arizona. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game performance.
These markets determine whether a specified Dallas player or the team's defense scores the first touchdown in the Arizona vs Dallas game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each player-specific market resolves to Yes if that player scores the first Dallas touchdown; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes a snap, resolution depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Dallas touchdowns occur, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all player markets resolve to No. The defensive unit market follows the same logic, resolving to Yes only if the defense scores the first touchdown. All markets are independent, and no market resolves unless a touchdown is scored by Dallas.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will fall, indicating a higher implied probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective insight of market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, following the completion of the Arizona vs. Dallas game. The outcome will be determined by identifying which Dallas player officially scores the first touchdown, as verified against credible public reporting from official game sources. The resolution will reflect the official game statistics and play-by-play records. Any scoring plays subject to review or overturned by officials will be considered in the final determination. The market will close and settle once the official result is confirmed, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players, particularly the quarterback or running backs, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the anticipated scoring dynamics. Pre-game reports on defensive matchups and coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even in-game events, like early turnovers or successful drives, could trigger rapid adjustments in the prices, as traders react to the unfolding action and reassess the likelihood of each player scoring first.