TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player or unit will score the first touchdown for the Arizona team in an upcoming football game against Dallas. It covers various offensive players and the defensive unit, with a separate outcome for scenarios where Arizona fails to score any touchdowns.
These markets determine whether a specified Arizona player or the Arizona defensive unit scores the first touchdown in the Arizona vs Dallas game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific participant: offensive players Kendrick Bourne, Jacoby Brissett, Elijah Higgins, Bam Knight, Trey McBride, Teagan Quitoriano, and the Arizona Cardinals defensive unit (ARI Cardinals D/ST). If the designated participant scores the first Arizona touchdown, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. A separate "No Touchdown" market resolves to Yes if Arizona does not score any touchdowns during the game, in which case all player-specific markets resolve to No. For any participant who is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based on whether they score the first touchdown. These rules ensure precise resolution based on in-game participation and scoring events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, each player potentially scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a specific contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, following the conclusion of the Arizona versus Dallas game. The outcome will be determined by identifying which player scored the first touchdown, as verified against credible public reporting from official game sources. The resolution will reflect the official game statistics and play-by-play information. Any scoring plays subject to review or penalty will be considered as per the official game rules. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the player who achieved this milestone.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team, particularly the Arizona Cardinals, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions favorable to a particular offensive strategy, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting quarterbacks or changes in coaching strategy could also move the market. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analysis favoring a specific player to score first could influence trader behavior and adjust the probabilities.