TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional football game between Arizona and Dallas. Currently, Kalshi gives Arizona a 57.0% probability of winning, while Dallas is at 43.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as determined by the official game result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Dallas wins the match scheduled for November 1, 2026.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the professional football game between Arizona and Dallas scheduled for November 1, 2026. If Dallas wins, the Dallas market resolves to Yes; if Arizona wins, the Arizona market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, both markets resolve to $0.50. Postponements are handled as follows: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the game, they can create price pressure within this market. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts, offering a potentially different perspective than standard betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Arizona vs Dallas game, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process focuses on establishing the definitive outcome of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they impact the playing field, could also affect the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives surrounding the Arizona vs Dallas game. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also influence trader behavior.