TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Texas Tech will make one or more 40+ yard field goals in their game against Arizona State. Currently, the consensus probability that Texas Tech will make at least one 40+ yard field goal is 100.0%, aggregated from Predict and Polymarket. The second most probable outcome is that Texas Tech will make at least 1.5 40+ yard field goals, with a 20.0% probability. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by NCAA.com, and traders should watch the game on October 17th to see if Texas Tech connects on a long field goal attempt.
In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas Tech, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Tech" if Texas Tech win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas Tech, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Tech" if Texas Tech win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. This market’s odds may differ from those offered by conventional sportsbooks due to varying information and incentives among participants.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading interfaces, and fee structures, all of which can influence market behavior. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform may vary significantly, impacting price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Texas Tech at 100%, while Predict leans toward Arizona State vs. Texas Tech at n/a%. These disparities highlight the importance of considering multiple sources of information when evaluating the potential outcome of the Arizona State vs. Texas Tech game.