TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas Tech. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Arizona State versus Texas Tech college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Texas Tech scores first, Arizona State scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams—count toward the resolution, and touchdowns scored in overtime still count for the respective team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks and logos remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of a team scoring first. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups – bettors in the case of sportsbooks, and informed traders here.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a team scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on the Kalshi exchange, and reflects their collective assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring first in the Arizona State vs. Texas Tech game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Arizona State vs. Texas Tech game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will then settle the market, paying out to those who correctly predicted which team would score first.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Arizona State or Texas Tech would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also impact the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or expert opinions, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.