TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on Tennessee winning the second quarter by more than 3.5 points in their match against Alabama. Second-quarter points are the only ones counted, and the market resolves based on the official result if the game starts within 48 hours of the schedule.
If Texas Tech wins the 2nd quarter of the Arizona St. vs Texas Tech college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. wins the 2nd quarter of the Arizona St. vs Texas Tech college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Arizona St. vs Texas Tech college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the collective belief of individuals trading on Kalshi. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might suggest that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has attracted a disproportionate amount of informed traders. Examining these differences can offer valuable insight into public perception and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Arizona State winning the 2nd quarter or Texas Tech winning the 2nd quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand; as more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the evolving probabilities as perceived by the traders on the platform, creating a real-time assessment of each team’s chances.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 2nd quarter of the Arizona State vs. Texas Tech game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The official game results, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome and settling all outstanding contracts on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineup for either Arizona State or Texas Tech would likely cause significant movement. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or unexpected defensive strategies, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader factors like weather conditions or even public betting trends observed elsewhere could impact the price of contracts on Kalshi as traders adjust their predictions.