TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Arizona State and Texas Tech during the second quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses exclusively on the point difference in that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game outcome.
The event evaluates whether Texas Tech or Arizona State achieves specified point differentials over their opponent during the second quarter of the game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which one team must lead at the end of the second quarter. If Texas Tech wins the second quarter by more than the designated point margin, markets favoring Texas Tech will resolve positively; conversely, if Arizona State achieves the required margin, those markets will resolve positively for them. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. Postponements are accommodated: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain active and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not commence within this window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can be a useful exercise in understanding differing perspectives on the likely outcome of the second quarter spread.
On Kalshi, the price of contracts for the Arizona State vs. Texas Tech spread is determined by the forces of supply and demand. Traders place buy and sell orders, and the market continuously matches these orders to establish a current price. This price represents the market’s assessment of the probability of a specific spread occurring in the second quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that outcome will be, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome based on the official second quarter spread of the Arizona State vs. Texas Tech game. The final result will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine the winning outcome based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges offered in this market. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, tied directly to the real-world event. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Additionally, public perception and betting trends, as reflected by trading volume on Kalshi, can contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected developments during the first quarter of the game could also quickly shift expectations for the second quarter spread.