TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different scoring threshold for one of the teams, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of BYU and Arizona State in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores above the stated point threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds set in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders expressing their beliefs about the likely team totals. If a significant number of traders believe a team will exceed the sportsbook’s over/under, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s worth comparing to see where the perceived value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing predictions about the team totals, and the price fluctuates based on their bids and asks. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more the market believes the outcome will be 'yes' (i.e., the team total will be greater than the specified number), while a price closer to 0 suggests the opposite. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Arizona State and BYU will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will determine whether each team’s actual total points scored exceeded the specified threshold. Traders holding contracts predicting a 'yes' outcome will receive a payout if their prediction is correct, while those holding 'no' contracts will receive a payout if the team total falls short. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arizona State or BYU would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could shift the price, reflecting new insights or a change in overall market sentiment. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.