TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether BYU will win against Arizona State by more than 2.5 points in their upcoming college football game. Currently, the probability of BYU winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Arizona St. vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, as reported by the game’s final score. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 31, 2026, as the final point differential will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Arizona State vs BYU college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For BYU win markets, resolution occurs if BYU wins by more than the specified points; for Arizona State win markets, resolution occurs if Arizona State wins by more than the specified points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve per the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread they selected.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of experts, while this market benefits from input from many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable when forming your own informed opinion on the likely outcome of the Arizona St. vs BYU game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The current top market on Kalshi is for BYU wins by over 17.5 points, though probabilities are constantly shifting based on trading activity and new information.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Arizona St. vs BYU game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the result, based on the actual performance of the teams involved. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Arizona St. or BYU teams would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected coaching changes or shifts in team strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, any major news related to team morale, weather conditions affecting the game, or even public betting patterns observed elsewhere could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.